Subjective Probability
The Real Thing| By: | Richard Jeffrey |
| Publisher: | Cambridge University Press |
| Print ISBN: | 9780521829717 |
| eText ISBN: | 9780511207082 |
| Edition: | 1 |
| Format: | Page Fidelity |
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This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory, there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing, on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations, on expectations of the values of random variables, on de Finetti's dissolution of the so-called problem of induction, and on decision theory.